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New Journal of Physics

IOP Publishing

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match New Journal of Physics's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.00% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
A framework for the organization of microtubules in developing neurons

Nicolaou, K.; Mulder, B. M.; Kapitein, L. C.; Berger, F.

2026-06-16 biophysics 10.64898/2026.06.15.732274 medRxiv
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The development and physiology of neurons rely on their microtubule organization, which is characterized by plus-end-out oriented microtubules in the axon and a mix of plus-end-out and plus-end-in oriented microtubules in dendrites. This orientational pattern is established early in neuronal development and is tightly linked to axon-dendrite differentiation. Even though multiple potentially relevant mechanisms have been proposed, fundamental questions remain: How does the microtubule organization in neurons emerge, and how does a neuron develop a single axon and multiple dendrites? Here, we address these questions at two distinct, complementary levels: at a higher level by proposing a conceptual framework, in which we classify mechanisms into three categories based on how they contribute to the microtubule organization: orientational bias, parallel amplification, and polarization; at a lower level we build a biophysical model that incorporates multiple mechanisms of microtubule dynamics in a neuron, from which, using analytical calculations and simulations, we derive insights into the emergence of microtubule organization in developing neurons. We show that geometrical effects alone can confer a bias in microtubule orientation. Parallel amplification then enhances the resulting polarity. Coupling multiple neurites to a common cell body that serves as a shared reservoir of resources allows for a polarization mechanism that ensures that the microtubule organization of one neurite becomes axonal while all others are dendritic. This framework unifies diverse molecular observations and yields experimentally testable predictions about microtubule self-organization in early neuronal development. Author summaryNeurons communicate through long protrusions called neurites, which are of two types: dendrites, which receive signals, and axons, which send signals. Their development relies primarily on microtubules, which are polar filaments with two distinct ends, known as the plus and minus ends. Microtubules self-organize into functional architectures that are significantly different between axons and dendrites. In axons, all microtubules point their plus end away from the cell body, whereas in dendrites, they point either towards the cell body or have mixed orientations depending on the species. This orientation guides intracellular transport by motors and is closely linked to whether a neurite develops into an axon or a dendrite. Despite decades of research identifying individual mechanisms, the bigger picture behind the emergence of microtubule orientation in neurons remains unclear. Here, we construct a conceptual framework and a biophysical model to identify the principles underlying the emergence of microtubule orientation in developing neurons. Our conceptual framework provides a high-level perspective on how individual mechanisms influence microtubule organization in neurites. In our concrete biophysical model, we study a selection of mechanisms to gain specific, quantitative insight into the organizational process. We propose a minimal model of a neuron that exhibits neuronal polarization, giving rise to a single axon-like neurite and multiple dendrite-like ones, consistent with experimental observations. This in silico neuron helps to explain how neurons break symmetry during development and provides a systematic way to generate and test new hypotheses about neuronal polarity.

2
Emergence of travelling wave patterns in resource-mediated tissue competition

Brinas-Pascual, N.; Alarcon, T.; Calvo, J.; Guerrero, P.; Oliver-Bonafoux, R.

2026-08-19 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.11.744236 medRxiv
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The study of tissue dynamics has been stimulated during the last decades thanks to the use of quantitative descriptions, with the development of several theoretical and computational frameworks, many of them revolving around the notion of reaction-diffusion systems, eventually with additional structure variables beyond time and space. The use of structure variables can accommodate phenotypic traits. In this work, we study a family of competition models, where a given population depends on a resource (e.g. oxygen) and several populations are competing for it. Our quantitative description incorporates phenotypic traits and heterogeneity at the level of cell cycle variations, which influence replication rates via oxygen consumption. This enables us to replicate the fitness of specific subpopulations to environmental conditions (e.g. oxygen shortage or external influences). Using numerical simulations, we show that such models display dynamical pattern formation in the form of coupled travelling wave profiles that expand or retreat at the same wave speed. The full theoretical analysis of such dynamics is quite involved; to circumvent this difficulty, we introduce a quasi-stationary approximation for the resource dynamics. We find that this approximation can reproduce the overall behaviour very accurately, with the additional benefit of allowing theoretical treatment of the reduced model. In this way, we provide estimates on the wave speed which are numerically shown to be robust across a wide range of macroscopic parameters of the full model. The wave speeds are thus found to depend strongly on the proliferation rate of the fittest population, resembling a winner-takes-all dynamics.

3
Cell division dynamics generate heterogeneous contact-mediated signaling outputs

Dawson, J. E.; Malmi-Kakkada, A. N.

2026-06-22 biophysics 10.64898/2026.06.18.733180 medRxiv
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Contact mediated cell-cell communication where direct physical contact between adjacent ligand cells and receptor cells trigger signal output is important during growth, development and regeneration of organisms. While the molecular machinery underlying contact mediated cell signaling is well explored, how the local spatial context of cells affect cell-cell contact mediated gene expression is not clear. Here, we present a vertex-based computational model to study spatial and temporal behavior of contact mediated signal output (which we refer to as output) in growing cell collectives. We consider cell-cell contact length dependent output synthesis and output degradation in receptor cells together with cell division to understand how dynamics at the scale of single cells lead to heterogeneous signal output. By tracking single receptor cells over time in growing cell collectives in silico, we show that cell growth and division lead to continuous and dynamic rearrangement of cell-cell contact between receptor and ligand cells which in turn affect the output levels. Our model predicts that the orientation of cell division plays a key role in the heterogeneity of signal output. We elucidate the link between cell mechanical properties that control cell shape, growth, and division, with signal output in receptor cells during contact mediated signaling processes.

4
Nanoscale numerical simulations explain apparently opposing experimental findings on ephaptic coupling

Jaeger, K. H.; Tveito, A.

2026-08-19 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.11.744093 medRxiv
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A classical study found no excitation transfer when isolated cardiomyocytes were placed side by side, whereas a recent paper reported action potential transfer in carrdiomyocytes placed end to end. We use nanoscale numerical simulations based on the full Poisson-Nernst-Planck equations to investigate whether these apparently opposing observations can be explained by the different geometrical configurations. The computations show that in the end-to-end configuration, ephaptic coupling occurs when the intercellular cleft is sufficiently narrow and a sufficiently large fraction of the sodium channels is localized at the intercalated disc. Coupling is strengthened when the sodium channels are concentrated in fewer clusters and when ionic diffusion within the cleft is reduced. Under these conditions, excitation transfer occurs on a timescale consistent with rapid cell-to-cell activation. Conduction depends biphasically on cleft width and terminates abruptly beyond a critical width. Localization of potassium channels at the intercalated disc has only a moderate effect, whereas gap junctions substantially improve conduction and reduce the relative contribution of ephaptic coupling. In the side-by-side configuration, excitation transfer does not occur under physiological conditions and requires highly flattened cells, minimal separation, and unrealistically strong sodium-channel clustering. The different outcomes of the side-by-side and end-to-end experiments can therefore be explained by the fundamentally different geometrical conditions for ephaptic coupling.

5
Proliferative and Motile Cell Interplay in Glioma Invasion: Go-or-Grow Switching Caps the Invasion Speed

Sadhukhan, S.; Santra, D.

2026-07-07 biophysics 10.64898/2026.07.01.735477 medRxiv
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Diffuse gliomas are deadly because the individual tumor cells invade - they travel far from the imageable mass, so it is impossible to remove the tumor completely. On the cellular level, glioma cells seem to be in either a "go" state (in which they do not divide) or a "grow" state (in which they do not migrate). We investigate what this tiny choice has to say about the large-scale speed of the invasion front and whether the implication is sufficiently strong to rule out the classical description of the Fisher-Kolmogorov-Petrovsky-Piskunov (Fisher-KPP) type, in which a single phenotype migrates and proliferates. We derive a two-phenotype reaction-diffusion model with density-dependent switching, and we prove the cooperative (quasi-monotone) structure and the associated comparison principle and study travelling-wave solutions of the model. A leading-edge linearization gives minimal front speed as minimizer of an explicit dispersion relation, and direct simulation verifies the predicted speed. In the experimentally relevant fast switching limit, we find a closed-form expression for the speed, that is, we obtain an effective Fisher-KPP equation with rescaled diffusivity and growth rate, with the fractions of the phenotypes. The "go-or-grow" (GoG) front can move at a maximum speed of half the Fisher speed for the same single-cell motility $D$ and proliferation rate $r$, which occurs only when the cells divide their time equally between the two phenotypes. This bound is directly testable: measurement of the front speed, plus independent determination of $D$ and $r$, discriminates the two hypotheses, and in the GoG case, yields recovery of the phenotype balance. We then extend the result to anisotropic (DTI-informed) invasion along white-matter tracts and discuss implications for understanding clinical measurements of growth rate.

6
Slow relaxation oscillations in multi-scale adaptive next generation neural masses

Martelloni, G.; Angulo Garcia, D.; Innocenti, G.; Torcini, A.; Olmi, S.

2026-07-28 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.07.26.740760 medRxiv
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We have studied the emergence of slow relaxation oscillations in next generation neural mass models with spike frequency adaptation. Relaxation oscillations connect low firing state (Down state) to high firing state (Up state) via the slow adaptation. In the examined cases, the orbit relaxes towards the Up State via a sequence of collective damped oscillations (peaks of activity), thus revealing population bursting dynamics. The slower is the adaptation time scale the higher is the complexity (number of peaks) displayed by the relaxation oscillations. In particular, a chaos-induced spike-adding mechanism regulates the increase in the number of peaks. In analogy to what found in the Hidmarsh-Rose neuron model, two different types of chaotic behaviors have been identified: Population Spiking and Population Bursting Chaos. The increase of the adaptation strength leads to shorter (longer) Up (Down) state durations somehow mimicking the effect of charbachol in in vitro experiments, where spontaneous slow waves are observed. Indeed, the scenario depicted in [1], where an increase of the concentration of carbachol induces a transition from anesthesia-like to sleep-like dynamics is consistent with our results based on the variation of the adaptation strength. HighlightsO_LISpike Frequency Adaptation (SFA) promotes the emergence of Slow Relaxation Oscillations C_LIO_LISpike-adding mechanisms, controlled by SFA, lead to Relaxation Oscillations of increasing complexity C_LIO_LITwo types of chaotic behaviours: Population Spiking and Population Bursting Chaos C_LIO_LISFA regulates Up and Down States durations and their correlation C_LI

7
Shear effects in active models of normal and cancer cells

Sadhukhan, S.; Das, R.; Zhao, L.; Losert, W.; Thirumalai, D.

2026-08-20 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.15.744982 medRxiv
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Mechanical properties of biological tissues, driven by passive and active forces, play a vital role in several processes ranging from development to cancer metastasis. However, the dynamical responses of cells in tissues, subject to mechanical deformations such as shear and the associated rheological properties, are not well characterized. Here, we use three-dimensional agent-based models for normal and cancer tissues to investigate their responses to simple shear as a function of cell stiffness and stochastic active forces. In the normal epithelium, with uniform strength of active force, the yield stress as a function of shear rate follows the Herschel-Bulkley form over a range of cell volume fraction. Strikingly, the shear rate dependence and the elasticity-dependent changes in the yield stress fall on master curves upon suitable scaling. To model cancer-like behavior, a certain fraction (Np) of cells was chosen to have enhanced activity and decreased stiffness. As Np increases, the extent of collective cell movement decreases, transitioning from affine (collective) to non-affine (individualistic) movement, a finding that is in accord with imaging experiments. Simulations of a model of a stiff solid tumor, with radius Rs embedded in normal tissue, show that as Rs increases, the yield stress increases. Interestingly, the cells migrate collectively as Rs increases. A Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and a mean field theory quantitatively account for the simulation as well as experimental results on cancerous, non-cancerous, and a mixture of these two types. The combined theoretical and experimental study establishes that heterogeneity in stiffness and activity determines non-affine movements in normal and cancer tissues.

8
Why is the purse string not enough?

Vicente Munuera, P.; Munoz, J. J.; Mao, Y.

2026-08-11 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.05.743165 medRxiv
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Wound repair is an important mechanism to preserve tissue integrity in organisms after injury. However, why different tissues exhibit different mechanisms to repair wounds is a long-standing question that remains unanswered. In this work, we theoretically explore the role of the purse string, an actomyosin contractile cable used by tissues to close small wounds. Does the tissue 3D geometry influence the efficiency of the purse string in driving wound closure? Using a 3D biophysical model, we study in silico tissues with the same cell volumes but different aspect ratios, ranging from squamous to thick and tall tissues. The model predicts that taller cells are easily deformed by the purse string. In contrast, very squamous cells require a very strong purse string that might demand additional cellular mechanisms to close the gap. These findings establish a theoretical framework to predict the optimal biophysical mechanisms of wound healing in different tissues. Graphical abstractCells of different aspect ratios can be observed in a range of organisms with different function and mechanics. The wound healing efficiency of the purse string increases with the cell aspect ratio in our theoretical exploration. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=135 SRC="FIGDIR/small/743165v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (23K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d44ab0org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1737cbaorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@101b5d4org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1487f26_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

9
Data requirements for accurate extinction-risk prediction in bistable populations

Rajakumar, A.; Buenzli, P. R.; Simpson, M. J.

2026-06-22 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.19.733461 medRxiv
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Understanding and predicting extinction risk is a central challenge in population biology. Mathematical models incorporating Allee thresholds are commonly used to understand population dynamics and to assess extinction risks. Inaccurate predictions can have serious consequences for conservation management. In this simulation study, we develop a likelihood-based inference and prediction workflow to estimate parameters, including the Allee threshold and population diffusivity parameters, using noisy count data generated using a well-defined discrete model. Although parameters are identifiable according to commonly used criteria, the accuracy of resulting predictions depends strongly on the quantity, quality, collection time and spatial resolution of the data. Our workflow demonstrates that seemingly reliable parameter estimates can lead to inaccurate predictions, highlighting the need for careful consideration of data quality and quantity to guide extinction-risk modelling and prediction. Open source software is provided on GitHub to replicate and extend all results considered.

10
Strong leaders promote cooperation in heterogeneous populations

Longhi, C.; Martinez-Vaquero, L. A.; Trianni, V.

2026-07-10 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.07.09.737424 medRxiv
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Many proposed mechanisms for the evolution of cooperation among unrelated individuals rely on relatively demanding cognitive abilities that are not widespread across taxa. In contrast, individual heterogeneity is a pervasive feature of animal groups, encompassing differences in personality as well as physical and cognitive traits. Such heterogeneity can promote the evolution of cooperation, yet its role has received comparatively little attention, particularly as a source of variation giving rise to social organization such as leadership. A specific form of leadership can emerge under unstable environmental conditions, when some individuals become better suited than others to initiate action and influence the behavior of their peers. Unlike fixed dominance hierarchies, emergent leadership can rapidly adjust to changing environmental conditions, thereby reshaping group organization. Because it does not require the maintenance of stable hierarchies, this form of leadership can arise even in species that do not have the cognitive capabilities to sustain complex social structures. In this work, we investigate the combined effects of individual heterogeneity and emergent leadership on the evolution of cooperation using an evolutionary game-theoretic model in which individuals may assume the roles of leaders or followers according to their strength, representing individual differences in suitability to prevailing environmental conditions. We examine different levels of population heterogeneity together with increasingly complex strategy sets requiring progressively greater informational requirements, allowing individuals to condition cooperation on their own strength, leadership role, or both. Our results show that the interplay between leadership and heterogeneity promotes the evolution of cooperation, particularly when only a small fraction of individuals act as leaders. Under these circumstances, cooperation evolves even when individuals employ the simplest possible strategies. Under harsher ecological conditions, cooperation can be sustained by more sophisticated strategies, specifically by conditional strategies that prescribe cooperation when individuals are strong or leading and defect when acting independently. Author summaryIn this study, we propose that emergent leadership mediated by individual diversity can boost the evolution of cooperation in animal groups. Building on growing evidence on the heterogeneity of animal capabilities and personalities, we focus on the fleeting leadership that emerges in animal groups when facing rapidly changing environmental conditions. We suggest that this type of leadership that emerges from individual differences in strength--a generic quality encompassing those characteristics that make an individual more fit to lead in a given situation--does not require complex cognitive capabilities from the animals and represents a valid alternative to more demanding strategies proposed in the past to explain the evolution of cooperation. Using an evolutionary game theory model, we show that if a population includes a few strong players, these can become influential leaders and guide the actions of their peers to achieve cooperation. Although the naive strategy of always cooperating is sufficient for cooperation to evolve, the introduction of more complex strategies leads players to cooperate only when they are more likely to be recognized as influential leaders. These strategies are more effective in promoting cooperation under unfavorable ecological conditions and are also more robust against exploitation by defectors.

11
Analysis and Design of Frequency-Based Biological Signaling Cascades

Naeini, A. E.; Nejad, S.; O'Donnell, D.; Kuhlman, T. E.

2026-08-24 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.19.745833 medRxiv
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Based on our experimental observation of activation state oscillations of different frequencies used to communicate information by the master human stress response regulator protein p38 MAPK 1, we develop a simple graphical approach for understanding and predicting the behavior of complex biological networks acting upon signals carrying information as different frequency waves of chemicals. This approach uses the same techniques used for analyzing and understanding information transmission using waves of electrical currents and fields used in electrical alternating current (AC) circuits. We show how biological components can be organized to behave as standard components found in electronic telecommunications circuits. Finally, we demonstrate how such components can be organized into complex biological signaling cascades whose behavior can be qualitatively and quantitatively understood, and whose output resembles that experimentally observed in p38.

12
Propagation electrodynamics and differential conduction of action potentials in geometrically branched squid giant axons

Liu, X.; Fang, W.; Perlin, K.

2026-08-07 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.03.742547 medRxiv
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Classical neuronal cable theory relies on quasi-static electric field approximations and neglects magnetic induction, Lorentz force coupling, and transient electromagnetic currents, limiting its ability to fully characterize action potential propagation within geometrically branched axons and dendrites. This work develops a coupled Maxwell-electromagnetic cable framework by integrating finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) solutions of Maxwells equations with extended Hodgkin-Huxley and Fitzhugh-Nagumo membrane dynamics, incorporating magnetic gating perturbations, electromagnetic trans-membrane currents IEM, and nanoscale quantum corrections for thin neural segments. Controlled propagation experiments are designed to quantify deviations from standard cable predictions across asymmetric and symmetric axonal bifurcation geometries. Numerical results demonstrate that inductive magnetic effects lower the critical branch radius for junction conduction failure and break symmetric action potential invasion in geometrically identical child branches under external transverse magnetic fields. An electromagnetic corrected geometric ratio GREM is proposed to revise impedance-matching conditions at branch points, accounting for size-dependent axial current imbalance induced by magnetic and displacement currents. Parent axon conduction velocity deviates substantially from the canonical [Formula] scaling law when electromagnetic feedback and quantum charge distributions are included, triggering early signal blockage at large cable diameters. Collectively, this study establishes that quasi-static cable models underestimate electromagnetic corrections to propagation speed, waveform shape, and bifurcation transmission fidelity; the coupled Maxwell-cable framework provides a comprehensive multi-physics tool for modeling electrodynamic signal behavior in complex neuronal architectures.

13
Founder advantages in cell colony geometric organisation

Honeybrook, L.

2026-06-15 biophysics 10.64898/2026.06.11.731426 medRxiv
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Since the earliest microscopic observations, the geometric organisation of cells has captured biologists interest. Recent work by Gorgi et al. showed that bacterial colony organisation, including biofilms, can be explained across diverse species by radial expansion from fixed initial seeding sites and contact-inhibited growth, with little need for species-specific mechanisms. Here, we extend this geometric framework by incorporating seeding time as an additional driver of colony organisation. Using simulations and analytical models for expected colony size, we show that staggered seeding yields order of magnitude increases in the expected size of early seeded founder colonies. At realistic biofilm growth rates, a 2-day lag between founder and subsequent colony seeding produces an approximately 10-fold increase in expected founder size, while a 1-week lag produces a 25-fold increase. These findings provide a simple geometric basis for biological priority effects, illustrating temporal advantage alone can generate substantial spatial dominance, with implications for cardiovascular devices where host and bacterial cells compete in a race for the surface.

14
A Minimal Stochastic Model of Microbial Ecological Dynamics in a Single-Species-Single-Resource Setting

Leung, C. F. A.; Kolomeisky, A.

2026-07-03 biophysics 10.64898/2026.07.01.735782 medRxiv
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Microbes exhibit complex dynamic behavior as the result of a large number of biochemical processes, spatial and temporal interactions, environmental variations, and evolutionary pressure. Although significant progress has been achieved in understanding microbial ecological dynamics, multiple open questions remain, including the microscopic mechanisms of growth and the roles of nutrients and stochasticity. In this work, we present a minimal theoretical approach to clarify the link between consumption of resources by microbes and their growth. A stochastic model that accounts for a single microbial species consuming a single type of resource while growing via cell division is studied analytically and via Monte Carlo computer simulations. We identify three distinct dynamical regimes of microbial growth determined by the relative magnitudes of resource uptake and division rates and initial conditions. We also show that stochasticity influences the dynamic behavior when the amounts of microbes or resources are low. The model recovers Monod growth kinetics and provides a mechanistic interpretation of the Monod constant and maximal growth rate. The theoretical framework presented captures a wide spectrum of dynamic behaviors in microbial systems, providing a clearer microscopic picture to explain their underlying complex mechanisms.

15
Contributions of single-cell mechanics and cell-cell adhesion to multicellular spheroid mechanics

Dolgitzer, D.; Parajon, E.; Robinson, D. N.; Iglesias, P. A.

2026-08-09 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.04.742605 medRxiv
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Tumor spheroid mechanics arise from both the mechanical properties of individual cells and the adhesive interactions that organize them into tissues. The relative contribution of these two factors to the bulk mechanical behavior, however, remains difficult to disentangle experimentally. Here, we develop a computational model of micropipette aspiration to compare the mechanical response of isolated cells and multicellular spheroids within a common computational framework. By independently varying single-cell stiffness and cell-cell adhesion, we quantify their effects on aspiration dynamics, effective elastic modulus, and viscoelastic relaxation. Our results show that increasing single-cell stiffness substantially alters the mechanics of isolated cells but has limited influence on the effective elastic modulus of multicellular spheroids. In contrast, changes in cell-cell adhesion produce pronounced effects on spheroid effective elastic modulus. Nevertheless, both parameters increase the retardation time governing the transition from the initial elastic response to long-time viscous deformation. These findings suggest that multicellular elasticity is governed primarily by intercellular mechanical coupling, whereas the dynamical response to applied stress depends jointly on cell-scale mechanics and cell-cell adhesion.

16
Allocation pattern of fruiting bodies in plasmodial slime molds, and threshold size for sporulation of P. polycephalum

Takahashi, S.; Nishigami, Y.; Taniguchi, A.; NAKAGAKI, T.

2026-07-09 animal behavior and cognition 10.64898/2026.07.06.736535 medRxiv
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The plasmodium of Myxogastoria (a group of amoeboid protists) species often crawls around the forest floor to feed while searching for places to form fruiting bodies for reproduction (sporulation). Certain environmental factors that trigger sporulation have been reported; however, other unknown factors are also expected. In this study, we reported field observations of Physarum rigidum and Fuligo septica. Inspired by the field observation, we examined the effects of multiple factors on sporulation in laboratory experiments using Physarum polycephalum. We found that:(1) there was a critical body size below which sporulation did not occur under our experimental conditions and (2) the plasmodium selected its sporulation sites from the available landscape of the experimental arena: dry and low sites for the majority and dry and high sites for the minority. Further analysis revealed that they preferred the edge area at the high site. We discuss the possible ecological importance of the threshold and location preference

17
Complex epidemiological dynamics driven by the combination of host spatial structure and seasonal forcing

Best, A.; White, A.; Boots, M.

2026-08-11 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.10.743859 medRxiv
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Spatial population structure and seasonality are both central to the spread of many infectious diseases of plants, animals and humans. While seasonal forcing in transmission often plays an important role in epidemiological models of a wide range of infectious disease, and we now have some theoretical understanding of the dynamical impacts of spatial structure, the combined effects of these two ubiquitous processes has not been examined in detail. Here, we develop a novel model to explore the combined influence of spatial structure and temporal variability on disease dynamics. Spatial structure is represented using a lattice-based approach with near-neighbour interactions, while temporal variability is included through regular, seasonal, variation of the transmission rate. We use bifurcation analysis of a pair approximation of the full spatial model to identify the parameter regimes associated with qualitatively distinct dynamical behaviours. The model exhibits a remarkably wide range of complex dynamics, including limit cycles, quasi-periodic cycles, multi-year cycles, chaotic dynamics and bistability between these different states. In particular, complex dynamics occur when reproduction is predominantly local, with the dynamics depending critically on the amplitude of the seasonal transmission rate. We show how high transmission rates, high birth rates and in particular low recovery rates are requirements for complex dynamics. We predict that SI-type disease interactions in plant pathogen systems will show complex dynamics even with relatively global transmission dynamics.

18
Environmental Stochasticity Reshapes Persistence and Extinction Dynamics in a Fear-Mediated Two-Species Competitive System

Srivastava, V.

2026-07-09 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.04.736416 medRxiv
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Environmental variability can strongly alter coexistence among competing species and their extinction risk, particularly when population dynamics are shaped by behavioral interactions, such as fear. In this work, we develop a novel stochastic differential equation competition model that incorporates both non-consumptive fear effects and environmental variability to investigate how behavioral interactions influence species coexistence under random fluctuations. Our result reveals that environmental stochasticity can drive species to extinction even when the corresponding deterministic system admits coexistence. In particular, under an explicit stability condition on the fear and competition parameters and sufficiently strong averaged noise intensities, we prove that both competing species become extinct exponentially almost surely. Conversely, we derive a stochastic persistence criterion in terms of fear, competition, and noise-induced suppression parameters for the fearful species. We further demonstrate that environmental noise may reverse classical competition-exclusion outcomes, leading to qualitatively different long-term dynamics from those predicted deterministically. These results provide rigorous thresholds separating stochastic extinction from persistence and highlight the critical role of environmental variability in fear-mediated competitive ecosystems. From an applied perspective, these results provide insight into how behavioral interactions and environmental variability influence species survival, with potential applications in ecological management and conservation.

19
Mechanics and fate stochasticity shape stem cell distribution in tissues

Krämer, J. C.; Hannezo, E.; Elgeti, J.

2026-06-12 biophysics 10.64898/2026.06.10.731353 medRxiv
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Balancing cellular loss in tissues requires fine balance of cell proliferation and differentiation. In differentiated tissues consisting of a single cell type, a mechanical regulation of proliferation has been proposed to underlie growth-control and homeostatic steady-states. Yet, how tissues containing different cell types with distinct proliferation rates, mechanical interactions, and spatial self-organization retain robust homeostasis of cell proportions remains poorly understood. Here, we combine particle-based mechanical models of proliferative tissues with a classical hierarchy of stem, progenitor, and differentiated cells, undergoing stochastic fate choices, and show that mechanical feedback alone is sufficient to stabilize populations. We derive analytically and computationally a phase diagram of possible stable states, in particular those maintained either via slow and rare stem cells with short-lived progenitors or no stem cells and long-lived progenitors. Our simulations uncover that mechanical control of growth is sufficient, in the absence of any codes of adhesion or extrinsic niche signals, to cause stable spatial structures, with small stem cell clusters forming and maintaining dynamical renewal units. Our results demonstrate how complex spatial structures can emerge in minimal stochastic and mechanical simulations with impact to understand the homeostasis of multi-cellular systems.

20
Real-time analysis of pore formation by bi-component staphylococcal leukotoxins using the two-electrode voltage-clamp technique

LEMEL, L.; HARRIS, S.; AUDIC, G.; BELLARD, L.; Savoie, J.-D.; Grison, C. M.; Granier, S.; Magnat, J.; Voyer, N.; Vernet, T.; Alves, I. D.; Di Guilmi, A.-M.; MOREAU, C. J.

2026-08-04 microbiology 10.64898/2026.08.03.742423 medRxiv
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Pore forming toxins (PFTs) are cytotoxins secreted in water-soluble form by pathogenic bacteria. They have the ability to form pores in the membrane of host cells, ultimately leading to cell death by lytic activity. Staphylococcus aureus produces a variety of bi-component PFTs, the leukocidins, which target and lyse particular leukocytes, erythrocytes and endothelial cells through specific interactions with membrane receptors. Most of these receptors belong to the family of complement or chemokine receptors that are G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs). Gamma-hemolysins (Hlgs) are the major leukocidins secreted by S. aureus, and form receptor-dependent hetero-octameric pores through mechanisms that are not fully elucidated. Studying these molecular mechanisms is technically challenging due to the requirement of specific receptors in a lipid bilayer environment. In the present article, we developed a simple and highly sensitive method allowing cell surface expression of a large diversity of target receptors and recording in real-time, currents generated by neo-formed pores. This method is based on the heterologous expression of receptors in Xenopus oocytes and on the two-electrode voltage-clamp technique with electrophysiological robots. Using this approach, we characterized the concentration dependent-kinetics of pore formation, determined the receptor density as a limiting factor, showed specific response to non-cognate pairing of PFTs, observed cell surface binding of F subunits preceding pore formation and propose a hybrid model of subunit oligomerization. This method could be easily implemented for the in vitro characterization of various PFTs on a wide diversity of membrane receptors, to decipher early mechanisms of pore formation or to screen therapeutic agents blocking the cytotoxicity of receptor-dependent PFTs. Author SummaryStaphylococcus aureus is a bacterial species naturally present in our external flora and environment, but it is also one of the main pathogens responsible for nosocomial infections in hospital, with strains having highly problematic multi-resistance to antibiotics. S. aureus is able to secrete various virulence factors, some of which can specifically target and lyse our immune cells, making us more vulnerable to this pathogen. Thus, leukotoxins bind to receptors on the cell surface, drastically change their conformation and form cytotoxic pores in the membrane. Studying the molecular mechanisms underlying the formation of these pores is technically challenging due to their requirement for specific receptors. Here, we tested a simple electrophysiological method enabling the real-time measurement of pore formation on model cells (Xenopus oocytes), which express the receptors of interest. We were thus able to elucidate the kinetics of pore formation, the limiting role of receptors in this process, and propose a complementary model to the standard model. We also demonstrated the ability of this method to detect pore formation of non-cognate pairs of subunits and suggest further applications to characterize pore-forming properties of other toxins, to identify new target receptors, or to screen therapeutic agents inhibiting the formation of pores.